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Department of Economics



Distortion by Audit: Evidence from Public Procurement (PDF, 1 MB) [Online Appendix (PDF, 517 KB)] [Online Data Appendix (PDF, 168 KB)]
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, forthcoming, with Maria Paula Gerardino and Stephan Litschig.
- Press: La Tercera, Corriere del Trentino

Ghosting the Tax Authority: Fake Firms and Tax Fraud (PDF, 680 KB)
American Economic Review: Insights, 2023, with Paul Carrillo, Dave Donaldson and Monica Singhal. 
- Press: VoxDev, VoxEU
- Audio:VoxTalks
- Video: UBS Center Videocast (minute 12:30)

Imports, Exports, and Earnings Inequality: Measures of Exposure and Estimates of Incidence, (PDF, 1 MB)
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2022, with Rodrigo Adão, Paul Carrillo, Arnaud Costinot and Dave Donaldson.
- Press: VoxDevMIT News

Savings Accounts to Borrow Less: Experimental Evidence from Chile (PDF, 1 MB)
Journal of Human Resources, 2022, with Felipe Kast.
 - Press: La Tercera 

Traditional Audit Design May Distort Incentives
with Maria Paula Gerardino and Stephan Litschig. In Public Procurement in Focus: Rules, Discretion, and Emergencies, ed. by Oriana Bandiera, Erica Bosio, and Giancarlo Spagnolo, 83-90, CEPR Press, 2021.

Challenges of Monitoring Tax Compliance by Multinational Firms: Evidence from Chile (PDF, 478 KB)
AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2019, with Sebastián Bustos, José Vila-Belda and Gabriel Zucman.

Saving More in Groups: Field Experimental Evidence from Chile (PDF, 1 MB)
Journal of Development Economics, 2018, with Felipe Kast and Stephan Meier.
- Press: Business Insider, Freakonomics, Wall Street Journal, Yahoo!
  Finance, Scientific American

Dodging the Taxman: Firm Misreporting and Limits to Tax Enforcement (PDF, 788 KB)
with Paul Carrillo and Monica Singhal. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 2017.
- Press: VoxDevBBC Radio
- Awards: Winner of the Excellence Prize in Applied Development Research, VfS, 2018

No Taxation Without Information: Deterrence and Self-Enforcement in the Value Added Tax (PDF, 638 KB)
American Economic Review, 2015.
- Summary: J-PAL
- Press: New York Times, CNN, World Bank News, Bloomberg News, El País, La Tercera

Randomized Tax Enforcement Messages: A Policy Tool for Improving Audit Strategies (PDF, 1 MB)
Tax Administration Review, 2014, with Cristobal Marshall and Pamela Castellon.
- Spanish version: CIAT

Working Papers

Misallocation in Firm Production: A Nonparametric Analysis Using Procurement Lotteries (PDF, 3 MB)
Revise & Resubmit at American Economic Review. NBER WP 31311, with Paul Carrillo, Dave Donaldson and Monica Singhal.

The Race Between Tax Enforcement and Tax Planning: Evidence From a Natural Experiment in Chile (PDF, 1 MB)
Revise & Resubmit at American Economic Journal: Economic Policy. NBER WP 30114, with Sebastián Bustos, Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, José Vila-Belda and Gabriel Zucman.
- Press: ProMarket, VoxDev and Tagesanzeiger
- Video: UBS Center Videocast (minute 23:56)

Weighted Subgroup Analysis in Regression Discontinuity Designs (PDF, 645 KB)
with Alvaro Carril, André Cazor, Maria Paula Gerardino and Stephan Litschig.

Op-eds and policy-oriented writing

Empirische Revolution in der Verwaltung (PDF, 269 KB)
Die Volkswirtschaft (September 20, 2019)

Freiheit, sich selbst sein zu dürfen
in Marti and Strub (eds.) Freiheit - Grundwert in Bedrängnis. Hier und Jetzt Verlag (2019), pp.19-21

Working in Emerging Markets: Opportunities and Blind Spots (PDF, 1 MB)
(December 2018), with Samik Adhikari and Juan Ignacio Elorrieta

Daten gegen Armut (PDF, 90 KB)
Die Zeit (December, 2017), with Johannes Haushofer, Max Roser and Frank Schilbach

Investigaciones en políticas tributarias (PDF, 47 KB)
La Tercera (November 26, 2014), with Sebastián Bustos and Fernando Irarrázaval

Shedding Light on the Gender Gap through Randomized Field Studies. (PDF, 297 KB)
Insights: Closing the Global Gender Gap (2009), with Connie Chen and Felipe Kast

Forschungsfonds garantiert die Abnahme (PDF, 388 KB)
Tages Anzeiger (December, 2004)

Chance für die armen Länder (PDF, 11 KB)
Tages-Anzeiger (August 9, 2004)